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Server Time: 12/1/2008 6:07:34 PM PACIFIC |
 Flop - 3 suited cards, Blazman, 30. Dec 2003 11:24 | ||
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| Hi I have been playing at party poker for about 3 weeks. I have noticed that a LOT of flops come up 3 suited cards, so I decided to count. I played 211 hands and 23 times the flop came up 3 suited cards, that is about 11% of the time. To me this seems incredibly high. Does anyone know what the odds are of the flop coming out 3 suited cards? Thanks Blaz | ||
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| Re: Flop - 3 suited cards, Highflyin3484k, 30. Dec 2003 11:37 | ||
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| 12/51 x 11/50 I come up with about 5.2% but I will give the generic repsone to this... some 200 hands is a very vrey nominal sample size to get any realistic statistic on this topic. | ||
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| Re: Flop - 3 suited cards, Blazman, 30. Dec 2003 11:53 | ||
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| Well using that formula wouldn't you use 13/52 x 12/51 x 11/50 in which case it's about 1.2% of the time -blaz on 30. Dec 2003 11:37 Highflyin3484k wrote: > 12/51 x 11/50 > > I come up with about 5.2% > > but I will give the generic repsone to this... some 200 hands is a very vrey nominal > sample size to get any realistic statistic on this topic. | ||
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| Re: Flop - 3 suited cards, Highflyin3484k, 30. Dec 2003 11:58 | ||
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| in that case you are using a specified suit... when you calculate the 13/52 you are in essence calculating the probablity of say 3 SPADES, you would not ad the 13/52 if just calculating the percentage of all 4 suits | ||
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| Re: Flop - 3 suited cards, jajo, 31. Dec 2003 11:56 | ||
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| If we disregard any of the hole cards (say you are a spectator watching the game) then there will be C(13,3)=286 ways of flopping three suited cards of any given suit. To take into account any of the four suits, we multiply by four 286x4=1,144. The total possible flops is C(52,3)=22,100. Therefore, the odds of flopping three suited cards is 1,144/22,100=.0518 making it a 5.2% chance | ||
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