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Server Time: 2/13/2012 7:45:23 PM PACIFIC |
Going with the odds??, jackboat, 21. Nov 2003 13:13 | ||
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| I need some help distinguishing when to take a chance and when to play the "pot odds." My problem arises in the fact I must put someone on a hand. If I mis-read my opponent the actual pot odds are quite different. Example. It's pre-flop I make a big raise with 99. I get re-raised all in by a fairly tight player but is somewhat short stacked. I know he has one of the following hands: pocket pair, AXs (x=k thru 10). I would put him on AK, or AQ. In that case, I'm slightly ahead of the hand, and would call. On the other hand...he could have pocket pair higher than 9's. In this case, I'm about a 4-1 underdog. My question is: When do you "take a chance" and go with your gut? I can't fold here...I just "hope" I'm ahead?? There are many other scenarios like this, where the improper read will leave me way behind in the odds. Is there ever a time to call when you believe you are behind in the pot?? | ||
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Re: Going with the odds??, ReMMy, 21. Nov 2003 13:46 | ||
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| Jackboat, Please describe what type of game you are in what stack sizes etc. If you are playing a tourney this is MUCH different than a ring game. If it's a tournament, a lot depends on how big the blinds are, what the stack sizes are, how many players are left, where the payouts start etc. If its a NL ring game, I think making a big raise preflop when your not on the button or 1 off w/ 99 is a mistake, because it puts you in exactly this position of having no idea what he is on. Any big pair beats you, and you are not a huge favorite to take down any 2 overcards. Set it or forget it with 99 IMHO. Good times, ReMMy | ||
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Re: Going with the odds??, Brian462, 29. Nov 2003 21:08 | ||
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| I would say that you need to attempt to figure the pot-odds while taking all of his possible hands into account. For instance, if you believe there's about a 50 percent chance that he has an over pair and 50 percent chance that he is on big cards, simply figure the pot-odds for both and average them. Usually, it is a bit more complicated than this, so it is more realistic to just make your best estimation. The key point here is that you don't put him on any one hand when you know there's a chance he has something else. Ignoring possibilites for the sake of simplicity will only make your estimations that much farther off so you should try to figure in as much information as possible when calculating pot-odds. | ||
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