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Bad Strategy? Lack of Long-Term Thinking?, Bart Mann, 5. Nov 2003 06:48
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I’ve noticed this play quite a bit lately in the online SNG tournaments, and I’d like to pose it to the group for analysis

Here’s the scenario . . . we’ve all seen it before:

Four players left in a 10-way SNG. Top three get paid 50%, 30% and 20%. Three of the players are relatively even in chips—say T3150 each to make it easy—and the fourth player has T550 and is hanging on for dear life. The blinds are 200/400, and the short stack is on the big blind and basically has no choice but to push the remaining 150 into the pot and go all in. Prior to this move, all three players have called T400. After the raise of 150, the three large stacks quickly call the additional 150. Four-way action. The flop comes, and everyone checks. The Turn comes, and everyone checks except LP, who decides to get “clever” and puts in a big raise. The other two stacks fold, and cards come over for LP and the all-in short stack. All-In is holding J9 suited (there’s a jack in the flop), and LP has bottom pair. River card comes and helps neither player, and in one fell swoop the All-In Short Stack has quadrupled up, has T2200 in chips and is once again a force to be reckoned with. To make matters worse, LP’s raise on the Turn drove out two players—both of whose hands would have beat All In Short Stack and taken him out of the tournament, putting the three remaining players in the money.

As I said, we’ve all seen this before. Now I want to know what everyone thinks. IMO this is short-sighted and non-profit maximizing play by LP. On the off chance that All In Short Stack was handcuffed and caught no piece of the board, LP made the seemingly arbitrary decision on behalf of the table that his hand was the best one to go one-on-one with the All In player. My philosophy on this play is simple—the three stacks give each other free cards until one of them is NEARLY CERTAIN that he/she can beat the All In player’s hand, and only then do they make a bet. If you’re playing in the right frame of mind, and the game is truly about the money, then giving other players free cards to make a hand is a no-brainer if it means getting to the money round. I’m sure there are varying opinions on the play of LP, so I’d like to hear them. And please—no “It's his money and he can do what he wants with it” stuff. I already know this. We all know this. I’m not asking if the player CAN do this . . . I’m asking if you think he SHOULD HAVE done it.

Look forward to the responses.

- Bart -
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Re: Bad Strategy? Lack of Long-Term Thinking?, WilliamS, 5. Nov 2003 11:08
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Dry side pot bluffs are the WORST play a player can make IMO. If you don't have the nuts check it down.

Will
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