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Server Time: 11/23/2008 5:33:03 AM PACIFIC |
 odds for set over set, Don Hayes, 3. Nov 2003 08:15 | ||
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| I had JJ and flopped J66 for the boat. Needless to say I was pumping up the pot. The pot was huge by the river when a King lands. At the showdown I watched in disbelief as the chips went to the other side of the table Kings over sixs. I figure the odds at least 23.5 to 1 for him to catch a King but I was wondering what the chances are of set over set in any one hand. ( math challenged). Thanks Don | ||
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| Re: odds for set over set, GeneM, 3. Nov 2003 09:29 | ||
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| Maybe I'm showing my own ignorance, but if you have the lesser set, I imagine you only have one out (quads). I suppose the conditions could be right such that you could catch a straight of flush if all the other player has is trips, but that seems very unlikely. If the board pairs anything, you would need quads to win. | ||
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| Re: odds for set over set, Aisthesis, 3. Nov 2003 10:13 | ||
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| You're right for the turn draw, but since he has 2 draw cards left at the flop, he's got slightly better than 1/12 for turn and river together. Doesn't seem worth it to me to try any kind of "preventive bet" on the flop, so the strategy seems sound: Get it as close to an all-in as possible as quickly as possible, except on the river if you had any indications he might have pocket KK. Just as an interesting note: Having just re-examined my pocket pair hands, I noted that QQ was my biggest winner--pretty much due to one hand, where my opponent had AA. When QXX flopped, I managed to get an all in and the board didn't show an A. | ||
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