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Server Time: 12/1/2008 1:08:59 PM PACIFIC |
 Runner Runner Flush, Big_Loser1, 10. Oct 2003 18:27 | ||
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| Just curious what the odds are or making a runner runner flush after you have three to a flush on the flop. | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, mkpoker, 10. Oct 2003 19:07 | ||
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| I believe you have a 4.2% chance of hitting a backdoor flush (about a 24:1 shot). (10/47) * (9/46) = .042 | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, modestmice, 10. Oct 2003 19:12 | ||
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| which is why im always stunned when i lose to a runner runner, but its a good thing. do people realize what an underdog they are? i hope not, caus they'll miss it so often and pay off a ton by callin all the way to the river...thank god most cardrooms arent filled with well read poker people on 10. Oct 2003 19:07 mkpoker wrote: > I believe you have a 4.2% chance of hitting a backdoor flush (about a 24:1 shot). > > (10/47) * (9/46) = .042 | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, mkpoker, 10. Oct 2003 20:08 | ||
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| Clearly, you'll never have the correct pot odds to call because of a backdoor flush draw. I think of backdoor draws as a "2nd option" that might make an otherwise marginal call OK. For example, let's say you've got two suited overcards on a rag flop w/ one of your suit and someone bets. That might justify a call. Or if you have a gutshot straight draw, and ALMOST the right odds to call--a backdoor flush draw would make a call OK, IMO. When you're "backdoored," it's probably because a bad player got lucky, but it might be because a good player hit his 2nd option. Just a thought. | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, Blade, 10. Oct 2003 20:12 | ||
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| If I was ever "backdoored" I would feel very unlucky. | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, modestmice, 10. Oct 2003 20:16 | ||
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| its aptly named, lol eseon 10. Oct 2003 20:12 Blade wrote: > If I was ever "backdoored" I would feel very unlucky. | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, Mark Barnett II, 13. Oct 2003 11:30 | ||
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| hit one the other nite, paired low with overcard and one to suit so called got the flush on the river won a nice pot too | ||
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| Re: Runner Runner Flush, Roy Cooke, 18. Oct 2003 09:41 | ||
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| If you have a three-flush it is just over 4%...If your opponent(s) have a three-flush it is a 8-1 favorite to come in :-)! Life is good :-) Roy Cooke on 10. Oct 2003 18:27 Big_Loser1 wrote: > Just curious what the odds are or making a runner runner flush after you have > three to a flush on the flop. | ||
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