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going all-in or betting the flop?, chris nelson, 3. Oct 2003 17:20
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Small no-limit B & M tourney. Middle stages - 7 out of 14 tables left. Blinds 200/400. Ante 50. UTG raises all in 950 more. 1350 total. Fold. Fold. Fold. Call. All else fold to me. I'm in the big blind. Red nines. I have 2200 in chips. It costs 1050 a round. I know I can't wait. I put the UTG on overcards. Probably paint paint or ( better ) Ace rag. He's desperate, next hand is his BB. The lone caller, I put him on small pocket pair. I've been watching him. Incidentally, he's the chip leader. OK. I figure I'm a 3 to 2 or a 11 to 10 favorite over the all in and am a 7 to 1 favorite over the caller. I'm getting over 4 to 1 pot odds and am pretty sure I have the best hand. My question. Strategy wise, is it best move in or call and then bet the flop? I decided since I was only a slight favorite against the all in and a clear favorite against the caller, I better get my money in and at least double my raise in case I get drawn out on by the all in. (52% of the time) How was my reasoning?
UTG KQo
caller 44
My read was perfect.
Results - the 13% of the time got there. A straight by the river.
Flop - 10/7/5
Turn - 6
River - 3 for 3/4/5/6/7 seven high str8
I busted out but was quite pleased by my play for a large majority of the tourney.
I probably would have won had I just called and then bet the flop.
Is that being results oriented?
Any comments would be appreciated.
Thanks, Chris
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Re: going all-in or betting the flop?, Mark Gregorich, 4. Oct 2003 01:35
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I think you played the hand fine, although you aren't a 7:1 favorite against a smaller pair. Closer to 4.5:1. They may only be 7:1 or so to flop a set against you, but by the time the smoke clears you aren't that big a favorite. That's just details, though; I like it that you analyzed the hand correctly and got your money in with the best hand.

Mark
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Re: going all-in or betting the flop?, Risky Business, 6. Oct 2003 14:05
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Simply put, I don' t like playing against 2 other players, especially when I'm the 3rd one in.

on 4. Oct 2003 01:35 Mark Gregorich wrote:
> I think you played the hand fine, although you aren't a 7:1 favorite against a
> smaller pair. Closer to 4.5:1. They may only be 7:1 or so to flop a set against
> you, but by the time the smoke clears you aren't that big a favorite. That's just
> details, though; I like it that you analyzed the hand correctly and got your money in
> with the best hand.
>
> Mark
>
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