United Poker Forum  

Server Time: 11/21/2008 1:26:59 PM PACIFIC  

More Odds, Kyle Stark, 16. May 2003 19:40
    View ( Message | Thread )       Return to Thread List
How do you calculate your ev in this situation? (I'm trying to evaluate all your outs on let it ride)

Okay let it ride, I was trying to calculate your EV in this situation
**Dealt 3 suites above 10**
So i'm thinking 1.9% for the backdoor straight 5.9% for the backdoor flush and 55% for 10's or better giving a overall 63% or 1.58 to 1 chance of winning anything.

Assuming that's roughly close I totally forgot that if a card hits on the 1st down card that and it is above a 10 that doesn't pair your cards (i.e. you have AK10s and a Q hits, you now have an extra 3 outs to pair the Q giving you 12 outs for 10's or better

now how do you factor that in to the overall ev of that situation?
        Return to Thread List
 
 
Re: More Odds, stdioh, 20. May 2003 09:39
    View ( Message | Thread )       Return to Thread List
Yes, you must add the chance of a pair coming that is not one of your pairs. You also need to subtract the cases where you make both a straight and a flush...because you have counted them twice. Then you need to weight your wins in term of payouts for each vs buy in.
        Return to Thread List
 
 
Copyright 2002, United Poker Forum  
Getting Started |  UPF Tournaments |  Poker News, Views, Rules |  Poker Strategy & Psychology |  Money and Bankroll
Poker Bonuses & Promotions |  World Series of Poker (WSOP) |  Play Online Poker |  Poker Odds & Statistics |  Tournament Poker |  Poker Books, Videos & Learning Tools
Looking for a Poker Game |  Poker Bad Beats |  Not Quite Poker |  Quizzes and Polls |  Forum Suggestions & Bugs

Interesting Links: Online Poker | Free Poker Games | United Poker Network