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Server Time: 2/13/2012 11:09:33 AM PACIFIC |
 How many hours for win rate?, stdioh, 13. Feb 2003 07:43 | ||
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| I've just recently started putting in a lot of hours in the cardroom and am logging all of my hours. I tend to be fairly loose preflop, so I'm a lot swingier than most players. My question is, how many hours do I need to log before I can feel fairly confident about my win rate? To phrase it more strongly, how many hours do I need to *know* that I am beating the game by a sufficient margin? I'm thinking in the neighbourhood of 500, but perhaps that is grossly inadequate...any opinions? | ||
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| Re: How many hours for win rate?, PiersS, 14. Feb 2003 12:37 | ||
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| At a rough guess I would say 500 hours would usually get you to within a one big bet of your win rate. 1000 hours will get you within two thirds of a big bet and 2000 hours within a small bet. Although that will not be true for about one out of a hundered Poker players, which is of course quite a lot of poker players. | ||
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| Re: How many hours for win rate?, stdioh, 14. Feb 2003 14:47 | ||
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| on 14. Feb 2003 12:37 PiersS wrote: > At a rough guess I would say 500 hours would usually get you to within a one big bet > of your win rate. 1000 hours will get you within two thirds of a big bet and 2000 > hours within a small bet. > > Although that will not be true for about one out of a hundered Poker players, which > is of course quite a lot of poker players. Sigh...this is my line of thinking as well. I know that I am playing a positive game. I just wonder how positive it really is. Part of me wants to turn low limit pro and my current win rate is good enough that I could, if it holds up...but that is a big if. I'm planning on putting in 50 hours a month this year and I do want to know by the end of December if I'm going to be able to pull it off. Knowing how good you are within one big bet is knowing nothing. I certainly won't be extracting 2 BB/hour from the 10-20 and I need to be sure that I'm making a bare minimum of one BB/hour there to consider turning pro. So this is my boggle. Then again, if my win rate hits 2BB/hour this year, maybe I'll have the confidence that I'm making at least 1 BB/hour on merrit and 1 from the poker gods...I should be so lucky. Thanks for the advice. | ||
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